The Day After
From: 2:00PM Water Cooler 2/2/2016 -The Trail
Cross posted from: Naked Capitalism
Sanders: “We are in this for the long haul. We’re going to be there fighting until the day of the convention. There are a lot of states out there and we now have a strong volunteer base in many, many states. We have the resources, we have the energy to continue the struggle and I think at the end of the day we’re going to surprise a lot of people. I think we’re gonna win this thing” [CBS]. Ulysses S. Grant: “I propose to fight it out on this line, if it takes all summer.”
“Retreating Clinton Campaign Torches Iowa Town To Slow Advance Of Sanders Volunteers” [The Onion].
“Clinton, who saw a 50-point lead in Iowa dwindle to single digits” [The Nation]. And Clinton didn’t win by even a single digit: 0.3%. She won not by a nose, but a whisker. “Another such victory and I am undone,” as Pyrrhus said.
“Results from Iowa’s Democratic Party, announcing 100 percent of the precincts counted, gave Clinton a whisker-thin margin: 49.8 percent to Sanders’s 49.6 percent” [WaPo]. “At the very least, Sanders’s competitiveness portends a longer, more costly and more difficult primary battle than predicted when Sanders entered the race six months ago. He has money and enthusiastic support to carry on his fight.” So much for two talking points: Clinton’s election is not inevitable, and Sanders is electable.
“‘As Hillary supporters, we’ve been instructed to, if we see it slipping away, to go over to O’Malley,’ [Chris Haines] said, who is running a distant third to Clinton and Sanders” [The Roll]. That wasn’t necessary, but kudos to the Clinton campaign for using O’Malley as a straw.
“The Iowa Democratic Party informed the campaigns of Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernard Sanders late Monday night that it has no results for 90 precincts across the state, which could account for as much as 5 percent of the total vote. And the party has asked the campaigns for help in getting a tally for those missing results” [Roll Call]. Apparently, the various caucus glitches have been resolved, but this is the sort of thing a functional party apparatus has to do; basic blocking and tackling. (Interestingly — and I know this will come as a shock to you — the Iowa Dem Party chair, Andy McGuire, has a “known allegiance” to Clinton.)
“If there is such a thing as controlled chaos (that’s likely an oxymoron) the process of cajoling supporters to leave their groups for another candidate epitomized the overall scene at the caucus I attended. The Democratic caucus rules were bent and broken in an attempt to keep attendees from leaving before all of the business of the caucus could be completed” [LA Progressive]. Again, basic blocking and tackling not done.
“Hillary Clinton Gives Victory Speech In Iowa, Even Though A Democratic Winner Hasn’t Been Declared” (with complete transcript) [Bustle]. AP wouldn’t call it; the Iowa Dems themselves wouldn’t call it; but Clinton called it. (The speech is carefully parsed; Clinton is, after all, a lawyer. However: “So as I stand here tonight, breathing a big sigh of relief — thank you, Iowa!” If she’s not “relieved” at (putative) victory, why is she relieved?)
Multiple House panels investigating Clinton email server in conflict over jurisdiction [The Hill]. The Clintons have always been lucky in their enemies.